2020 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

411.5522 UGX

YEARLY LOW

365.4971 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

391.7611 UGX

2020 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 411.5522. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 6, dropping to 365.4971.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 46.0552 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 382.8690 to the December average rate of 408.0750, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 411.5522 was up 4.16% compared to the 2019 peak of 395.1266, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,057,761 UGX

2019 Average 1,926,321 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,827,485 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 230,275.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

411.5570

369.7728

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 382.6625, compared to 400.8597 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 18.1971 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 382.6625

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 400.8597

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 22.5568 UGX (High: 398.2807 / Low: 375.7239). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.5507 UGX (High: 386.8027 / Low: 382.2520).

March Spread (Volatile) ±22.5568

May Spread (Stable) ±4.5507

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 15.7606 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -15.7606

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 408.0750) against the same month in 2019 (average: 381.8923), the exchange rate shifted by +26.1827 (+6.86%).

2020 Avg (December) 408.0750

2019 Avg (December) 381.8923

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	387.4359	381.0993	382.8690
February	386.3863	376.2689	380.0068
March	398.2807	375.7239	389.0154
April	384.4468	365.4971	373.2548
May	386.8027	382.2520	384.7906
June	390.3114	383.8411	386.0387
July	395.8837	382.5725	387.8063
August	401.3640	393.7403	398.2522
September	403.8002	398.5350	400.8600
October	408.7567	398.9127	403.8660
November	410.0755	403.7475	406.2985
December	411.5522	394.4880	408.0750