2011 NPR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.6433 UGX

YEARLY LOW

27.7803 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

34.1492 UGX

2011 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 31, valuing the pair at 38.6433. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 27.7803.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.8630 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.7269 to the December average rate of 29.2305, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 38.6433 was up 17.02% compared to the 2010 peak of 33.0241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 193,217 UGX

2010 Average 152,761 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 138,902 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 54,314.81 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

38.8666

28.3545

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.3996, compared to 34.8989 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4993 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.3996

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.8989

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 3.9887 UGX (High: 37.2623 / Low: 33.2736). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7746 UGX (High: 33.6655 / Low: 32.8908).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.9887

May Spread (Stable) ±0.7746

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 3.8308 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8308

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 37.9906) against the same month in 2010 (average: 30.9125), the exchange rate shifted by +7.0781 (+22.90%).

2011 Avg (August) 37.9906

2010 Avg (August) 30.9125

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	33.5776	32.0655	32.7269
February	33.6135	32.3453	32.9705
March	34.2704	33.4185	33.8236
April	33.8016	32.7828	33.4779
May	33.6655	32.8908	33.2351
June	37.2623	33.2736	34.1635
July	37.1071	35.7556	36.4411
August	38.6433	37.0235	37.9906
September	38.6244	36.3778	37.2542
October	37.3187	33.5013	36.1538
November	34.0289	30.6392	32.3230
December	30.8861	27.7803	29.2305