YEARLY HIGH
31.3269 UGX
YEARLY LOW
24.0519 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
27.7763 UGX

2013 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 31.3269. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 4, dropping to 24.0519.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2750 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.9096 to the December average rate of 25.3777, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 31.3269 was down 2.44% compared to the 2012 peak of 32.1118, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 156,635 UGX
2012 Average 146,842 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 120,260 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,374.97 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

31.4834
24.5972
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.8286, compared to 25.7240 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.1046 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.8286
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.7240

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 2.3649 UGX (High: 26.7022 / Low: 24.3373). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4377 UGX (High: 25.9633 / Low: 25.5255).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.3649
October Spread (Stable) ±0.4377

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.5733 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5733

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 30.8665) against the same month in 2012 (average: 29.5982), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2683 (+4.29%).

2013 Avg (February) 30.8665
2012 Avg (February) 29.5982

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.2299 30.5258 30.9096
February 31.3269 30.4386 30.8665
March 30.5464 29.8159 30.2646
April 30.1106 28.9568 29.6282
May 30.0432 28.6887 29.4379
June 28.6318 26.9561 27.8646
July 27.4380 26.6183 27.0771
August 26.7022 24.3373 25.7637
September 25.7573 24.0519 25.1711
October 25.9633 25.5255 25.7130
November 25.5408 24.9540 25.2411
December 25.7740 25.1610 25.3777