YEARLY HIGH
27.0943 UGX
YEARLY LOW
24.1351 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
25.8643 UGX

2025 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 29, valuing the pair at 27.0943. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 24.1351.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9592 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 26.7291 to the December average rate of 24.8151, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 27.0943 was down 9.07% compared to the 2024 peak of 29.7972, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 135,472 UGX
2024 Average 140,342 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 120,676 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,796.02 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

27.0756
24.2862
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.5960, compared to 25.1326 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4634 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.5960
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.1326

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 1.2868 UGX (High: 25.8006 / Low: 24.5137). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3815 UGX (High: 26.6159 / Low: 26.2344).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.2868
February Spread (Stable) ±0.3815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.6139 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6139

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 26.8154) against the same month in 2024 (average: 28.6439), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8286 (-6.38%).

2025 Avg (April) 26.8154
2024 Avg (April) 28.6439

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 26.9710 26.5395 26.7291
February 26.6159 26.2344 26.4424
March 26.7779 26.2473 26.4852
April 27.0943 26.6575 26.8154
May 27.0492 26.5433 26.8432
June 26.6499 25.9748 26.2608
July 26.2967 25.5822 26.0498
August 26.0087 25.1648 25.4592
September 25.1388 24.5351 24.8454
October 24.8377 24.1351 24.5186
November 25.8006 24.5137 25.1077
December 25.1884 24.4866 24.8151