2018 NPR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

36.0452 UGX

YEARLY LOW

31.7684 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

34.1237 UGX

2018 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 36.0452. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 31.7684.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.2769 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.7534 to the December average rate of 32.8609, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 36.0452 was up 1.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 35.6848, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 180,226 UGX

2017 Average 173,670 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 158,842 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,384.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

36.1202

31.7192

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.2221, compared to 33.0253 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1968 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.2221

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 33.0253

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 2.0420 UGX (High: 35.6018 / Low: 33.5598). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4986 UGX (High: 35.4400 / Low: 34.9414).

July Spread (Volatile) ±2.0420

March Spread (Stable) ±0.4986

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.2108 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 35.7534) against the same month in 2017 (average: 33.1985), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5550 (+7.70%).

2018 Avg (January) 35.7534

2017 Avg (January) 33.1985

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	36.0452	35.4759	35.7534
February	35.6099	34.9488	35.3349
March	35.4400	34.9414	35.1353
April	35.5161	34.6462	35.1865
May	34.9761	34.1436	34.5236
June	35.8938	35.0765	35.3990
July	35.6018	33.5598	34.1882
August	33.6921	33.1578	33.5209
September	33.1852	32.6104	32.9808
October	32.8079	31.7684	32.0859
November	33.4034	31.8230	32.5152
December	33.4135	32.0966	32.8609