2020 NPR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

32.4468 UGX

YEARLY LOW

30.5759 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

31.3720 UGX

2020 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 32.4468. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 30.5759.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8709 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.2760 to the December average rate of 31.1130, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 32.4468 was down 4.64% compared to the 2019 peak of 34.0265, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 162,234 UGX

2019 Average 164,578 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 152,880 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,354.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

32.4212

30.6786

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.5541, compared to 31.1900 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3641 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.5541

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.1900

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.9836 UGX (High: 32.2568 / Low: 31.2732). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2990 UGX (High: 31.6398 / Low: 31.3408).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.9836

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2990

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6276 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6276

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 32.2760) against the same month in 2019 (average: 32.7862), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5101 (-1.56%).

2020 Avg (January) 32.2760

2019 Avg (January) 32.7862

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	32.4468	32.0883	32.2760
February	32.4085	31.8849	32.1591
March	32.2568	31.2732	31.6721
April	31.4871	30.6443	31.0444
May	31.6410	31.1689	31.3337
June	31.3254	30.5759	30.8390
July	31.1530	30.6748	30.8904
August	31.3436	30.6195	30.8238
September	31.6398	31.3408	31.4763
October	31.9026	31.3541	31.6019
November	31.5438	30.9453	31.2344
December	31.3950	30.8117	31.1130