YEARLY HIGH
35.5569 UGX
YEARLY LOW
27.3581 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.5019 UGX

2015 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 10, valuing the pair at 35.5569. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 27.3581.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.1988 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.5929 to the December average rate of 31.6456, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 35.5569 was up 26.88% compared to the 2014 peak of 28.0242, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 177,784 UGX
2014 Average 132,898 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 136,790 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,993.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

35.5406
27.9613
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.5970, compared to 33.4069 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.8099 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.5970
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 33.4069

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 2.6621 UGX (High: 34.7799 / Low: 32.1178). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5135 UGX (High: 29.2553 / Low: 28.7417).

July Spread (Volatile) ±2.6621
February Spread (Stable) ±0.5135

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.5541 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5541

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 34.9090) against the same month in 2014 (average: 27.1865), the exchange rate shifted by +7.7225 (+28.41%).

2015 Avg (October) 34.9090
2014 Avg (October) 27.1865

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 29.4430 27.3581 28.5929
February 29.2553 28.7417 28.9210
March 30.0378 28.9273 29.4435
April 30.1899 29.6070 29.9242
May 29.9254 29.1985 29.5052
June 32.3488 30.0431 31.1952
July 34.7799 32.1178 32.8969
August 34.6221 33.4160 34.0587
September 35.0711 34.4012 34.5763
October 35.5569 34.0396 34.9090
November 33.9613 31.4264 32.3549
December 32.2313 31.0144 31.6456