YEARLY HIGH
25.5990 UGX
YEARLY LOW
23.7579 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
24.6383 UGX

2026 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 17, valuing the pair at 25.5990. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 23.7579.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8411 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.5780 to the December average rate of 24.6181, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 25.5990 was down 5.52% compared to the 2025 peak of 27.0943, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 127,995 UGX
2025 Average 129,304 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 118,790 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,205.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

25.2338
24.0688
JanuMarcMayJuly

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.7205, compared to 24.3920 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3285 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.7205
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.3920

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 1.3813 UGX (High: 25.1392 / Low: 23.7579). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 24.6181 / Low: 24.6181).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.3813
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3336 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3336

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 25.1367) against the same month in 2025 (average: 26.4852), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3485 (-5.09%).

2026 Avg (March) 25.1367
2025 Avg (March) 26.4852

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 25.1392 23.7579 24.5780
February 24.7696 24.3324 24.5602
March 25.5990 24.5648 25.1367
April 25.2501 24.5607 24.9125
May 24.6552 24.6132 24.6358
June 24.8146 24.1110 24.4995
July 24.6331 23.9441 24.1659
August 24.6181 24.6181 24.6181