YEARLY HIGH
30.8318 UGX
YEARLY LOW
27.4649 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
29.3603 UGX

2022 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 30.8318. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 27.4649.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3669 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.6396 to the December average rate of 27.9514, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 30.8318 was down 2.86% compared to the 2021 peak of 31.7410, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 154,159 UGX
2021 Average 151,768 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 137,325 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,834.62 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

30.3402
27.7342
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.4785, compared to 29.2421 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2364 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.4785
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.2421

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 1.5524 UGX (High: 30.4211 / Low: 28.8687). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3683 UGX (High: 29.4804 / Low: 29.1121).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.5524
February Spread (Stable) ±0.3683

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.7895 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7895

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 30.1230) against the same month in 2021 (average: 29.8274), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2956 (+0.99%).

2022 Avg (August) 30.1230
2021 Avg (August) 29.8274

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 29.8559 29.2161 29.6396
February 29.4804 29.1121 29.3251
March 29.6727 29.1443 29.4628
April 29.4610 28.7651 29.0795
May 30.4211 28.8687 29.3561
June 30.6347 29.6447 30.0080
July 30.4517 29.3541 29.8178
August 30.8318 29.5422 30.1230
September 30.0888 29.4620 29.8014
October 29.5542 28.6744 29.0180
November 29.1161 28.5262 28.7409
December 28.7686 27.4649 27.9514