2012 NPR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

32.1118 UGX

YEARLY LOW

27.2202 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

29.3679 UGX

2012 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 32.1118. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 27.2202.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8915 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.3872 to the December average rate of 30.5667, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 32.1118 was down 16.90% compared to the 2011 peak of 38.6433, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 160,559 UGX

2011 Average 170,786 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 136,101 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,457.74 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

31.1581

27.5074

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.4242, compared to 29.3117 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.4242

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.3117

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 2.1681 UGX (High: 29.8266 / Low: 27.6585). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6530 UGX (High: 28.4246 / Low: 27.7716).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.1681

July Spread (Stable) ±0.6530

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.6901 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6901

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 30.8539) against the same month in 2011 (average: 33.8236), the exchange rate shifted by -2.9697 (-8.78%).

2012 Avg (March) 30.8539

2011 Avg (March) 33.8236

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	29.7929	28.7164	29.3872
February	30.5251	29.1030	29.5982
March	32.1118	30.4880	30.8539
April	30.9610	29.7388	30.2922
May	29.8266	27.6585	28.6021
June	28.2959	27.2202	27.8117
July	28.4246	27.7716	27.9992
August	28.5355	27.8695	28.0795
September	30.2406	28.1654	28.8910
October	30.9647	29.9945	30.4571
November	30.6760	29.5560	29.8766
December	30.9605	30.1105	30.5667