YEARLY HIGH
35.6848 UGX
YEARLY LOW
32.9371 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
34.7267 UGX

2017 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 35.6848. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 32.9371.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7477 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.1985 to the December average rate of 35.2939, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 35.6848 was up 6.70% compared to the 2016 peak of 33.4434, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 178,424 UGX
2016 Average 159,007 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 164,685 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,738.54 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

35.5367
32.9859
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.3447, compared to 35.1087 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7640 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.3447
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.1087

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was March, with a trading range of 1.4434 UGX (High: 34.8635 / Low: 33.4201). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5220 UGX (High: 33.4591 / Low: 32.9371).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.4434
January Spread (Stable) ±0.5220

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3206 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3206

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 35.3241) against the same month in 2016 (average: 31.5040), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8201 (+12.13%).

2017 Avg (August) 35.3241
2016 Avg (August) 31.5040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 33.4591 32.9371 33.1985
February 33.8152 33.1901 33.4629
March 34.8635 33.4201 34.2419
April 35.4924 34.8185 35.1408
May 35.5004 34.8339 35.1709
June 35.1794 34.5595 34.8535
July 35.3678 34.7379 35.0205
August 35.6848 35.0205 35.3241
September 35.5140 34.2797 35.0036
October 35.2168 34.5353 34.9419
November 35.3700 34.7860 35.0683
December 35.6283 34.8907 35.2939