2019 NPR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

34.0265 UGX

YEARLY LOW

31.8158 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

32.9109 UGX

2019 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 3, valuing the pair at 34.0265. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 3, dropping to 31.8158.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2107 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.7862 to the December average rate of 32.2671, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 34.0265 was down 5.60% compared to the 2018 peak of 36.0452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 170,133 UGX

2018 Average 170,575 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 159,079 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,053.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

33.8943

32.1040

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.2253, compared to 32.5965 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6288 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.2253

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.5965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.4347 UGX (High: 33.4790 / Low: 32.0444). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3327 UGX (High: 33.8207 / Low: 33.4880).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.4347

July Spread (Stable) ±0.3327

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.0764 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0764

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 33.5869) against the same month in 2018 (average: 35.3990), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8121 (-5.12%).

2019 Avg (June) 33.5869

2018 Avg (June) 35.3990

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	33.5392	32.2466	32.7862
February	32.8381	32.0722	32.2860
March	33.7662	32.5979	33.3298
April	33.9371	33.3011	33.6176
May	33.9912	33.4562	33.7451
June	34.0265	33.1045	33.5869
July	33.8207	33.4880	33.6224
August	33.4790	32.0444	32.5460
September	32.6289	31.8158	32.2532
October	32.8532	32.2740	32.5480
November	32.7648	32.0571	32.3420
December	32.4510	32.0413	32.2671