2014 NPR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

28.0242 UGX

YEARLY LOW

24.5311 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.5685 UGX

2014 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 28.0242. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 24.5311.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4931 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.1702 to the December average rate of 27.5486, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 28.0242 was down 10.54% compared to the 2013 peak of 31.3269, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 140,121 UGX

2013 Average 138,798 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 122,656 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,465.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

27.9011

24.5032

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.9203, compared to 27.2166 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2963 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.9203

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.2166

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 1.2486 UGX (High: 26.6319 / Low: 25.3832). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2682 UGX (High: 26.8969 / Low: 26.6287).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.2486

August Spread (Stable) ±0.2682

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.5853 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5853

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 27.5486) against the same month in 2013 (average: 25.3777), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1709 (+8.55%).

2014 Avg (December) 27.5486

2013 Avg (December) 25.3777

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	25.5256	24.5311	25.1702
February	25.5195	24.6182	24.7864
March	26.6319	25.3832	25.9186
April	26.6333	25.7205	26.1430
May	27.0192	26.1113	26.5591
June	27.0972	26.7041	26.9448
July	27.7163	26.9184	27.3457
August	26.8969	26.6287	26.7604
September	27.0081	26.6137	26.8405
October	27.5771	26.7667	27.1865
November	27.9755	27.1618	27.6180
December	28.0242	27.0975	27.5486