YEARLY HIGH
29.7972 UGX
YEARLY LOW
26.7717 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
28.0726 UGX

2024 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 29.7972. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 26.7717.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0255 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.6105 to the December average rate of 26.9622, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 29.7972 was up 3.04% compared to the 2023 peak of 28.9185, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 148,986 UGX
2023 Average 140,967 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 133,859 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,127.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

29.5688
26.7253
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.7057, compared to 27.4396 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2661 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.7057
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.4396

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 1.2081 UGX (High: 29.7972 / Low: 28.5891). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1548 UGX (High: 27.3726 / Low: 27.2179).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.2081
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1548

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6879 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6879

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 29.1553) against the same month in 2023 (average: 27.8998), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2555 (+4.50%).

2024 Avg (February) 29.1553
2023 Avg (February) 27.8998

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 28.7463 28.1837 28.6105
February 29.7972 28.5891 29.1553
March 29.6598 29.0814 29.3319
April 29.1512 28.4883 28.6439
May 28.7232 28.0877 28.3964
June 28.6918 27.7213 28.0960
July 27.9013 27.5731 27.7075
August 27.8743 27.6414 27.7426
September 27.7833 27.5746 27.6719
October 27.3726 27.2179 27.2914
November 27.4710 27.1144 27.2621
December 27.2683 26.7717 26.9622