YEARLY HIGH
28.9185 UGX
YEARLY LOW
27.2248 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
28.1923 UGX

2023 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 28.9185. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 27.2248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6937 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.1995 to the December average rate of 28.3668, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 28.9185 was down 6.21% compared to the 2022 peak of 30.8318, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 144,592 UGX
2022 Average 146,800 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 136,124 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,468.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

28.6437
27.7022
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.2585, compared to 28.1262 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1322 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.2585
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.1262

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 1.0167 UGX (High: 28.2415 / Low: 27.2248). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2553 UGX (High: 28.3236 / Low: 28.0683).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.0167
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2553

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3001 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2023: 28.5652) against the same month in 2022 (average: 29.0795), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5143 (-1.77%).

2023 Avg (April) 28.5652
2022 Avg (April) 29.0795

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 28.3236 28.0683 28.1995
February 28.1636 27.6691 27.8998
March 28.7995 28.0404 28.4098
April 28.9185 28.3634 28.5652
May 28.5677 28.1114 28.3056
June 28.4115 27.9424 28.1708
July 28.1248 27.4653 27.8707
August 28.2415 27.2248 27.7807
September 28.3121 28.0369 28.1515
October 28.4170 28.0922 28.2073
November 28.6115 28.2232 28.3805
December 28.5412 28.1923 28.3668