2016 NPR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

33.4434 UGX

YEARLY LOW

30.5165 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

31.7995 UGX

2016 NPR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NPR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 33.4434. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 27, dropping to 30.5165.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9269 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.0063 to the December average rate of 33.1673, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 33.4434 was down 5.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.5569, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 167,217 UGX

2015 Average 157,588 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 152,583 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,634.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

33.3595

31.0530

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.4562, compared to 32.1428 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6866 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.4562

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.1428

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.4703 UGX (High: 31.9868 / Low: 30.5165). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2614 UGX (High: 31.6322 / Low: 31.3707).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.4703

August Spread (Stable) ±0.2614

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6014 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6014

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 33.1673) against the same month in 2015 (average: 31.6456), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5217 (+4.81%).

2016 Avg (December) 33.1673

2015 Avg (December) 31.6456

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	32.4257	31.7708	32.0063
February	31.9868	30.5165	31.4049
March	31.7740	30.7289	31.3932
April	31.7965	31.0888	31.4247
May	31.4145	31.1291	31.2453
June	31.5050	31.0660	31.2630
July	31.6046	31.3255	31.4384
August	31.6322	31.3707	31.5040
September	31.8449	31.4863	31.6593
October	32.3995	31.8137	32.1495
November	33.1145	32.4492	32.9382
December	33.4434	32.7652	33.1673