2011 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

329.7977 UGX

YEARLY LOW

261.3330 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

288.4422 UGX

2011 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 329.7977. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 261.3330.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 68.4646 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 266.2547 to the December average rate of 280.1618, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 329.7977 was up 23.70% compared to the 2010 peak of 266.6086, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,648,988 UGX

2010 Average 1,245,829 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,306,665 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 342,323.12 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

327.3617

260.6995

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 272.2068, compared to 304.6775 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 32.4708 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 272.2068

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 304.6775

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 34.5136 UGX (High: 329.7977 / Low: 295.2841). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2774 UGX (High: 274.2904 / Low: 272.0130).

October Spread (Volatile) ±34.5136

May Spread (Stable) ±2.2774

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 25.2742 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -25.2742

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 320.2353) against the same month in 2010 (average: 258.9549), the exchange rate shifted by +61.2804 (+23.66%).

2011 Avg (October) 320.2353

2010 Avg (October) 258.9549

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	273.4912	261.3330	266.2547
February	272.5708	263.7573	268.3232
March	277.3899	270.6908	274.0707
April	272.6402	266.3057	271.0986
May	274.2904	272.0130	273.1668
June	306.0121	272.9451	280.3266
July	298.7211	290.3673	295.9063
August	323.2019	298.7229	314.9943
September	328.7934	317.5251	321.8065
October	329.7977	295.2841	320.2353
November	301.2996	286.1290	294.9611
December	291.4612	269.9596	280.1618