2012 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

308.1954 UGX

YEARLY LOW

264.0317 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

286.3194 UGX

2012 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 308.1954. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 264.0317.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 44.1637 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 275.6828 to the December average rate of 305.6427, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 308.1954 was down 6.55% compared to the 2011 peak of 329.7977, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,540,977 UGX

2011 Average 1,442,840 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,320,159 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 220,818.42 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

309.5137

263.0618

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 279.9724, compared to 292.6664 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 12.6940 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 279.9724

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 292.6664

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 17.9822 UGX (High: 283.4699 / Low: 265.4878). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2095 UGX (High: 283.9539 / Low: 281.7444).

January Spread (Volatile) ±17.9822

July Spread (Stable) ±2.2095

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 8.7500 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -8.7500

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 305.6427) against the same month in 2011 (average: 280.1618), the exchange rate shifted by +25.4810 (+9.10%).

2012 Avg (December) 305.6427

2011 Avg (December) 280.1618

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	283.4699	265.4878	275.6828
February	279.8805	264.0317	266.9328
March	292.7083	279.7043	283.6615
April	287.6601	283.4940	286.0298
May	286.8996	280.0904	283.2794
June	286.9555	282.2846	284.2483
July	283.9539	281.7444	282.8308
August	288.3290	283.5455	285.0034
September	291.6998	285.9413	287.8175
October	297.1791	292.0752	295.1641
November	307.9626	294.9086	299.5398
December	308.1954	302.8634	305.6427