2018 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

446.6800 UGX

YEARLY LOW

414.2008 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

425.8908 UGX

2018 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 446.6800. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 414.2008.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.4792 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 416.0609 to the December average rate of 424.4660, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 446.6800 was up 6.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 418.9189, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,233,400 UGX

2017 Average 2,067,028 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,071,004 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 162,395.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

440.8381

413.5786

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 422.7885, compared to 428.9931 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.2046 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 422.7885

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 428.9931

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 24.8708 UGX (High: 446.0021 / Low: 421.1312). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.7127 UGX (High: 424.4080 / Low: 421.6952).

July Spread (Volatile) ±24.8708

April Spread (Stable) ±2.7127

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 9.3072 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.3072

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 438.5665) against the same month in 2017 (average: 410.6102), the exchange rate shifted by +27.9563 (+6.81%).

2018 Avg (June) 438.5665

2017 Avg (June) 410.6102

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	419.5271	414.2008	416.0609
February	418.2882	414.4772	415.8502
March	421.6843	416.1735	417.8240
April	424.4080	421.6952	422.5053
May	431.3686	423.8560	425.9240
June	446.6800	431.0709	438.5665
July	446.0021	421.1312	429.2592
August	430.5718	421.1809	426.4934
September	437.4078	429.9978	434.4770
October	437.1585	429.4576	431.9467
November	429.3802	425.1375	427.3161
December	427.2657	422.0359	424.4660