YEARLY HIGH
451.5990 UGX
YEARLY LOW
416.0033 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
429.4035 UGX

2024 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 451.5990. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 416.0033.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.5956 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 434.8124 to the December average rate of 418.8437, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 451.5990 was up 3.52% compared to the 2023 peak of 436.2435, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,257,995 UGX
2023 Average 2,128,768 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,080,017 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 177,978.13 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

447.9768
416.1952
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 436.8641, compared to 421.9429 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.9212 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 436.8641
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 421.9429

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 15.5977 UGX (High: 451.5990 / Low: 436.0012). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6143 UGX (High: 420.0130 / Low: 418.3987).

February Spread (Volatile) ±15.5977
October Spread (Stable) ±1.6143

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 8.5104 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.5104

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 442.4587) against the same month in 2023 (average: 421.3155), the exchange rate shifted by +21.1432 (+5.02%).

2024 Avg (February) 442.4587
2023 Avg (February) 421.3155

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 436.2672 431.5881 434.8124
February 451.5990 436.0012 442.4587
March 449.5869 442.9259 445.3284
April 444.3299 433.5433 436.8180
May 437.0915 428.6139 432.9773
June 436.1984 423.3687 428.7901
July 427.0709 421.7032 423.4876
August 427.1396 424.2492 425.6035
September 426.1648 421.7111 424.0472
October 420.0130 418.3987 419.3046
November 423.4461 418.2632 420.3709
December 421.7675 416.0033 418.8437