YEARLY HIGH
424.7533 UGX
YEARLY LOW
391.7635 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
411.7438 UGX

2025 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 424.7533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 391.7635.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.9898 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 421.4219 to the December average rate of 408.4557, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 424.7533 was down 5.94% compared to the 2024 peak of 451.5990, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,123,766 UGX
2024 Average 2,146,765 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,958,817 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 164,949.11 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

423.9538
393.5711
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 418.3659, compared to 405.1216 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.2443 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 418.3659
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 405.1216

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 21.6982 UGX (High: 418.2773 / Low: 396.5791). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3872 UGX (High: 410.8366 / Low: 409.4494).

November Spread (Volatile) ±21.6982
July Spread (Stable) ±1.3872

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 6.3706 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.3706

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 419.1738) against the same month in 2024 (average: 436.8180), the exchange rate shifted by -17.6442 (-4.04%).

2025 Avg (April) 419.1738
2024 Avg (April) 436.8180

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 423.2511 419.8141 421.4219
February 424.0320 419.6031 420.4584
March 420.1905 418.3546 419.1716
April 424.7533 416.4470 419.1738
May 419.5983 415.4518 417.5806
June 416.2387 409.7994 412.3893
July 410.8366 409.4494 409.8746
August 409.6801 405.5818 407.4028
September 405.2648 398.8299 401.0322
October 399.4530 391.7635 396.1030
November 418.2773 396.5791 407.8613
December 413.7585 404.2770 408.4557