2022 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

443.4835 UGX

YEARLY LOW

399.4157 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

421.5927 UGX

2022 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 3, valuing the pair at 443.4835. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 399.4157.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 44.0678 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 403.3849 to the December average rate of 421.2953, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 443.4835 was up 4.45% compared to the 2021 peak of 424.5879, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,217,418 UGX

2021 Average 2,049,536 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,997,079 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 220,339.06 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

441.6341

398.2330

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 410.5474, compared to 432.6381 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 22.0907 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 410.5474

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 432.6381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 27.0507 UGX (High: 431.7300 / Low: 404.6794). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.3794 UGX (High: 405.1572 / Low: 400.7778).

May Spread (Volatile) ±27.0507

January Spread (Stable) ±4.3794

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 8.1734 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -8.1734

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 438.0173) against the same month in 2021 (average: 404.3302), the exchange rate shifted by +33.6872 (+8.33%).

2022 Avg (August) 438.0173

2021 Avg (August) 404.3302

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	405.1572	400.7778	403.3849
February	405.4907	399.4157	401.8497
March	413.9833	403.4160	410.4979
April	408.5821	402.2676	404.7710
May	431.7300	404.6794	414.6800
June	434.2831	421.7299	428.1006
July	443.3785	424.5784	433.4570
August	443.4835	429.4653	438.0173
September	442.9964	432.1872	436.7768
October	440.0804	434.2404	436.8132
November	433.5975	426.8637	429.4687
December	427.4904	415.9454	421.2953