YEARLY HIGH
418.9189 UGX
YEARLY LOW
407.5185 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
413.3775 UGX

2017 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 3, valuing the pair at 418.9189. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 407.5185.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.4004 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 413.2699 to the December average rate of 414.4235, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 418.9189 was up 0.82% compared to the 2016 peak of 415.4955, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,094,595 UGX
2016 Average 1,954,114 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,037,593 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 57,001.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

416.4343
409.3837
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 412.6158, compared to 414.1392 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5234 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 412.6158
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 414.1392

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was March, with a trading range of 9.1158 UGX (High: 417.4591 / Low: 408.3433). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.6863 UGX (High: 417.1462 / Low: 412.4598).

March Spread (Volatile) ±9.1158
April Spread (Stable) ±4.6863

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 3.8890 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8890

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2017: 415.8468) against the same month in 2016 (average: 407.0002), the exchange rate shifted by +8.8466 (+2.17%).

2017 Avg (November) 415.8468
2016 Avg (November) 407.0002

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 416.6267 410.2532 413.2699
February 413.7430 407.5991 409.9712
March 417.4591 408.3433 412.7812
April 417.1462 412.4598 414.5630
May 416.9158 411.6637 414.4992
June 414.5873 407.5185 410.6102
July 417.9623 410.5790 412.8879
August 415.9395 410.8475 413.5295
September 415.7533 410.8788 412.4819
October 418.0705 412.6150 415.6655
November 418.9189 413.4382 415.8468
December 416.0048 411.0161 414.4235