YEARLY HIGH
424.5879 UGX
YEARLY LOW
402.0352 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
409.9513 UGX

2021 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 424.5879. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 402.0352.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.5527 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 421.6504 to the December average rate of 406.2315, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 424.5879 was down 4.94% compared to the 2020 peak of 446.6484, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,122,939 UGX
2020 Average 2,124,082 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,010,176 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 112,763.44 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

423.4772
401.5557
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 414.0662, compared to 405.8364 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.2298 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 414.0662
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 405.8364

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 10.1548 UGX (High: 414.7180 / Low: 404.5632). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2566 UGX (High: 419.2185 / Low: 417.9619).

October Spread (Volatile) ±10.1548
March Spread (Stable) ±1.2566

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 8.4245 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.4245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 421.6504) against the same month in 2020 (average: 420.3631), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2872 (+0.31%).

2021 Avg (January) 421.6504
2020 Avg (January) 420.3631

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 424.5879 417.8099 421.6504
February 420.5456 418.2936 419.0231
March 419.2185 417.9619 418.5644
April 418.6179 408.7991 414.5081
May 410.9668 403.7626 406.0836
June 406.3102 402.0352 404.5674
July 407.4474 404.5700 405.9610
August 406.0401 403.4047 404.3302
September 406.8566 402.2830 403.3825
October 414.7180 404.5632 408.9043
November 409.1922 403.2713 406.2087
December 408.0202 404.4894 406.2315