2013 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

310.9796 UGX

YEARLY LOW

285.2086 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

295.7341 UGX

2013 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 310.9796. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 285.2086.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.7710 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 306.8575 to the December average rate of 287.1569, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 310.9796 was up 0.90% compared to the 2012 peak of 308.1954, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,554,898 UGX

2012 Average 1,431,958 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,426,043 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 128,855.06 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

308.8275

285.1869

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 299.7911, compared to 291.6772 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.1139 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 299.7911

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 291.6772

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 9.6914 UGX (High: 298.6421 / Low: 288.9506). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.7208 UGX (High: 297.9928 / Low: 295.2720).

April Spread (Volatile) ±9.6914

June Spread (Stable) ±2.7208

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 6.4902 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.4902

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 306.8575) against the same month in 2012 (average: 275.6828), the exchange rate shifted by +31.1747 (+11.31%).

2013 Avg (January) 306.8575

2012 Avg (January) 275.6828

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	310.9796	304.4774	306.8575
February	306.7854	301.6631	303.8634
March	303.3832	296.2814	301.2086
April	298.6421	288.9506	294.7184
May	298.4351	292.1692	295.5056
June	297.9928	295.2720	296.5930
July	297.8516	294.7847	296.0037
August	296.7352	293.5552	294.8827
September	296.1621	290.8558	293.8201
October	293.0345	287.2593	289.8326
November	290.2061	287.1559	288.3671
December	289.0293	285.2086	287.1569