YEARLY HIGH
446.6484 UGX
YEARLY LOW
416.5496 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
424.8097 UGX

2020 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 446.6484. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 416.5496.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 30.0988 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 420.3631 to the December average rate of 418.8413, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 446.6484 was up 3.36% compared to the 2019 peak of 432.1145, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,233,242 UGX
2019 Average 2,117,132 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,082,748 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 150,493.96 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

434.7073
417.3989
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 427.3085, compared to 422.3109 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.9975 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 427.3085
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 422.3109

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 23.8286 UGX (High: 446.6484 / Low: 422.8198). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2512 UGX (High: 421.4686 / Low: 419.2174).

March Spread (Volatile) ±23.8286
August Spread (Stable) ±2.2512

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 6.1950 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.1950

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 430.6163) against the same month in 2019 (average: 423.5491), the exchange rate shifted by +7.0672 (+1.67%).

2020 Avg (March) 430.6163
2019 Avg (March) 423.5491

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 423.9996 418.8300 420.3631
February 423.9788 418.8613 420.2152
March 446.6484 422.8198 430.6163
April 434.8918 429.1162 432.3215
May 434.6054 431.9587 433.2649
June 432.1041 425.1391 427.0699
July 425.6987 421.2463 423.2738
August 421.4686 419.2174 420.2390
September 425.1070 420.4579 422.4859
October 427.6664 421.9248 424.9469
November 427.6400 422.2950 424.0787
December 422.8470 416.5496 418.8413