2015 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

422.2262 UGX

YEARLY LOW

315.9542 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

370.0530 UGX

2015 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 422.2262. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 315.9542.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 106.2721 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 325.5657 to the December average rate of 385.2818, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 422.2262 was up 32.42% compared to the 2014 peak of 318.8485, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,111,131 UGX

2014 Average 1,484,602 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,579,771 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 531,360.39 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

428.3819

316.2188

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 340.1082, compared to 399.9978 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 59.8896 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 340.1082

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 399.9978

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 29.8554 UGX (High: 403.1576 / Low: 373.3022). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.5454 UGX (High: 329.6520 / Low: 326.1066).

July Spread (Volatile) ±29.8554

February Spread (Stable) ±3.5454

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 24.6492 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -24.6492

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 416.0587) against the same month in 2014 (average: 305.7495), the exchange rate shifted by +110.3093 (+36.08%).

2015 Avg (October) 416.0587

2014 Avg (October) 305.7495

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	331.3828	315.9542	325.5657
February	329.6520	326.1066	327.9479
March	343.0791	327.2977	336.0615
April	344.8468	339.8694	342.7827
May	349.6346	341.1829	344.1676
June	377.0270	349.9477	364.1240
July	403.1576	373.3022	382.8453
August	417.7075	391.3820	405.3564
September	421.4613	416.8654	419.0349
October	422.2262	404.4840	416.0587
November	407.1016	383.3538	391.4096
December	397.2270	379.9565	385.2818