2014 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

318.8485 UGX

YEARLY LOW

280.4284 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

296.8207 UGX

2014 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 318.8485. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 280.4284.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 38.4201 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 285.7574 to the December average rate of 315.8774, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 318.8485 was up 2.53% compared to the 2013 peak of 310.9796, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,594,242 UGX

2013 Average 1,478,466 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,402,142 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 192,100.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

319.2400

278.8889

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 288.3169, compared to 305.3245 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 17.0076 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 288.3169

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 305.3245

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 10.6972 UGX (High: 317.2638 / Low: 306.5666). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.7989 UGX (High: 291.3486 / Low: 287.5498).

November Spread (Volatile) ±10.6972

May Spread (Stable) ±3.7989

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.5060 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5060

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 315.8774) against the same month in 2013 (average: 287.1569), the exchange rate shifted by +28.7205 (+10.00%).

2014 Avg (December) 315.8774

2013 Avg (December) 287.1569

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	288.8429	282.3932	285.7574
February	288.8075	280.4284	282.2515
March	293.5703	287.0850	289.5761
April	293.0422	286.6581	288.6919
May	291.3486	287.5498	289.1451
June	298.1332	291.0953	294.4795
July	304.6714	296.1613	300.6892
August	299.6399	295.6669	298.1817
September	302.0364	295.2850	298.9458
October	310.1049	301.4998	305.7495
November	317.2638	306.5666	312.5034
December	318.8485	314.2445	315.8774