YEARLY HIGH
432.2890 UGX
YEARLY LOW
395.4044 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
421.7972 UGX

2026 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 17, valuing the pair at 432.2890. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 395.4044.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.8846 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 407.9594 to the December average rate of 429.1547, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 432.2890 was up 1.77% compared to the 2025 peak of 424.7533, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,161,445 UGX
2025 Average 2,058,450 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,977,022 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 184,423.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

432.7954
405.3680
JanuMarcMayJuly

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 420.3417, compared to 426.1638 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.8221 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 420.3417
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 426.1638

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 20.2790 UGX (High: 432.2890 / Low: 412.0100). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 UGX (High: 429.1582 / Low: 429.1529).

March Spread (Volatile) ±20.2790
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 5.9115 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.9115

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 426.3548) against the same month in 2025 (average: 419.1716), the exchange rate shifted by +7.1832 (+1.71%).

2026 Avg (March) 426.3548
2025 Avg (March) 419.1716

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 414.0607 395.4044 407.9594
February 412.0111 403.9800 407.6536
March 432.2890 412.0100 426.3548
April 429.1792 421.1688 424.9742
May 431.8741 427.0099 430.5098
June 430.9975 415.9552 424.5983
July 430.8224 417.1325 423.1730
August 429.1582 429.1529 429.1547