2019 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

432.1145 UGX

YEARLY LOW

418.5066 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

423.4043 UGX

2019 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 432.1145. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 418.5066.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.6079 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 423.3876 to the December average rate of 420.0110, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 432.1145 was down 3.26% compared to the 2018 peak of 446.6800, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,160,573 UGX

2018 Average 2,129,602 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,092,533 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 68,039.70 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

431.5875

418.6670

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 425.1786, compared to 421.6300 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.5486 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 425.1786

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 421.6300

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 10.0276 UGX (High: 431.1573 / Low: 421.1297). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9738 UGX (High: 423.0775 / Low: 421.1036).

June Spread (Volatile) ±10.0276

August Spread (Stable) ±1.9738

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.2140 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2140

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 430.5108) against the same month in 2018 (average: 425.9240), the exchange rate shifted by +4.5868 (+1.08%).

2019 Avg (May) 430.5108

2018 Avg (May) 425.9240

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	426.8739	418.8163	423.3876
February	423.3039	418.8823	419.7437
March	424.6022	422.3952	423.5491
April	429.4404	424.3240	427.2601
May	432.1145	427.9715	430.5108
June	431.1573	421.1297	426.6205
July	423.8835	421.3602	422.4065
August	423.0775	421.1036	422.0496
September	421.7115	418.8377	420.1490
October	426.0608	420.5871	422.6868
November	423.9607	421.3942	422.4771
December	423.4122	418.5066	420.0110