2016 SVC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

415.4955 UGX

YEARLY LOW

378.3673 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

390.8231 UGX

2016 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 415.4955. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 378.3673.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.1282 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 393.9372 to the December average rate of 411.5812, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 415.4955 was down 1.59% compared to the 2015 peak of 422.2262, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,077,478 UGX

2015 Average 1,851,487 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,891,837 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 185,640.97 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

414.5167

379.2908

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 386.7123, compared to 394.9338 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.2216 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 386.7123

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 394.9338

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 18.7983 UGX (High: 415.4955 / Low: 396.6972). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7333 UGX (High: 387.4102 / Low: 385.6769).

November Spread (Volatile) ±18.7983

September Spread (Stable) ±1.7333

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 7.5061 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.5061

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 407.0002) against the same month in 2015 (average: 391.4096), the exchange rate shifted by +15.5906 (+3.98%).

2016 Avg (November) 407.0002

2015 Avg (November) 391.4096

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	397.8878	385.2997	393.9372
February	397.9418	383.4471	392.1348
March	385.9646	382.2424	384.6288
April	385.6171	378.3673	382.2263
May	387.3068	379.0966	382.4319
June	390.6043	382.6712	384.9146
July	389.0048	384.2508	386.4145
August	386.9235	384.8240	385.6028
September	387.4102	385.6769	386.5954
October	396.1733	387.2036	392.4091
November	415.4955	396.6972	407.0002
December	415.4227	406.8863	411.5812