2010 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

198.7793 UGX

YEARLY LOW

151.8849 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

176.3217 UGX

2010 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2010

During 2010, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 8, valuing the pair at 198.7793. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 151.8849.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 46.8944 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 156.0414 to the December average rate of 189.9327, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 993,897 UGX

Yearly Average 881,608 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 759,425 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 234,471.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2010.

198.0410

151.9143

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 165.1481, compared to 187.4953 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 22.3472 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 165.1481

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 187.4953

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2010 was March, with a trading range of 12.4775 UGX (High: 171.0053 / Low: 158.5278). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.0917 UGX (High: 157.6642 / Low: 153.5724).

March Spread (Volatile) ±12.4775

January Spread (Stable) ±4.0917

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 4.2644 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2644

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Historical data for the previous year (2009) is currently unavailable. Strongest month average for November 2010 is 194.1971.

2010 Avg (November) 194.1971

Baseline Avg N/A

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	157.6642	153.5724	156.0414
February	158.6992	151.8849	155.7582
March	171.0053	158.5278	165.1193
April	169.0752	164.9702	167.4616
May	176.3823	164.6634	171.2175
June	177.5434	170.3131	175.2905
July	184.2853	177.0246	180.5528
August	186.4467	179.7911	183.7450
September	189.6555	180.7746	184.0184
October	195.8641	189.0195	192.5256
November	198.7793	188.7029	194.1971
December	194.0680	186.5095	189.9327