2015 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

191.7947 UGX

YEARLY LOW

151.3679 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

172.3269 UGX

2015 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 31, valuing the pair at 191.7947. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 151.3679.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 40.4268 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 171.5777 to the December average rate of 170.4467, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 191.7947 was down 1.43% compared to the 2014 peak of 194.5701, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 958,973 UGX

2014 Average 927,649 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 756,839 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 202,133.96 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

189.8237

151.4466

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 165.5542, compared to 179.0996 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.5454 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 165.5542

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 179.0996

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 23.6874 UGX (High: 182.5484 / Low: 158.8610). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.3024 UGX (High: 170.4708 / Low: 165.1684).

January Spread (Volatile) ±23.6874

May Spread (Stable) ±5.3024

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 16.9330 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -16.9330

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2015: 186.6256) against the same month in 2014 (average: 188.7608), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1352 (-1.13%).

2015 Avg (August) 186.6256

2014 Avg (August) 188.7608

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	182.5484	158.8610	171.5777
February	159.5861	151.3679	154.6447
March	165.5920	156.6557	160.3667
April	172.3066	162.1015	166.4394
May	170.4708	165.1684	167.9684
June	175.7909	168.0909	172.3284
July	185.5387	173.5077	176.8476
August	191.7947	182.7795	186.6256
September	190.3860	181.2308	186.1344
October	187.1698	176.9206	183.0766
November	177.4335	167.2582	171.4668
December	174.7637	166.4455	170.4467