2026 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

218.7768 UGX

YEARLY LOW

204.0178 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

213.4859 UGX

2026 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 27, valuing the pair at 218.7768. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 204.0178.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.7590 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 211.4818 to the December average rate of 210.7684, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 218.7768 was up 0.53% compared to the 2025 peak of 217.6270, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,093,884 UGX

2025 Average 1,041,335 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,020,089 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 73,794.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

219.1820

209.4804

JanuMarcMayJuly

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 213.9388, compared to 210.7684 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.1704 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 213.9388

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 210.7684

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 12.9976 UGX (High: 217.0154 / Low: 204.0178). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8550 UGX (High: 218.7768 / Low: 217.9218).

January Spread (Volatile) ±12.9976

May Spread (Stable) ±0.8550

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 5.1959 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.1959

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 218.3735) against the same month in 2025 (average: 212.2750), the exchange rate shifted by +6.0985 (+2.87%).

2026 Avg (May) 218.3735

2025 Avg (May) 212.2750

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	217.0154	204.0178	211.4818
February	213.6991	208.4264	210.2889
March	218.3070	210.8015	214.9569
April	218.4824	212.2102	215.3543
May	218.7768	217.9218	218.3735
June	218.7323	207.0468	213.1776
July	213.7742	207.4939	210.7684