2012 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

222.1275 UGX

YEARLY LOW

193.1220 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

207.0420 UGX

2012 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 222.1275. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 193.1220.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 29.0055 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 204.6349 to the December average rate of 219.5498, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 222.1275 was down 11.58% compared to the 2011 peak of 251.2181, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,110,637 UGX

2011 Average 1,079,195 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 965,610 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 145,027.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

221.7624

195.2111

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 206.4902, compared to 207.5938 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 206.4902

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 207.5938

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 15.0573 UGX (High: 212.4653 / Low: 197.4080). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.7872 UGX (High: 206.1496 / Low: 201.3624).

January Spread (Volatile) ±15.0573

September Spread (Stable) ±4.7872

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 7.2112 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.2112

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 219.5498) against the same month in 2011 (average: 208.6277), the exchange rate shifted by +10.9221 (+5.24%).

2012 Avg (December) 219.5498

2011 Avg (December) 208.6277

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	212.4653	197.4080	204.6349
February	208.0587	193.1220	197.4237
March	216.1066	207.1155	209.7148
April	215.3515	209.8673	212.8201
May	215.0730	206.8928	208.9163
June	208.0449	201.0085	205.4312
July	203.1107	197.5382	199.8847
August	202.7149	197.8898	199.7415
September	206.1496	201.3624	203.0586
October	214.2976	206.5201	210.9663
November	217.5955	209.2750	212.3620
December	222.1275	217.1723	219.5498