2011 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

251.2181 UGX

YEARLY LOW

188.8785 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

215.7184 UGX

2011 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 251.2181. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 188.8785.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 62.3396 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 191.2996 to the December average rate of 208.6277, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 251.2181 was up 26.38% compared to the 2010 peak of 198.7793, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,256,091 UGX

2010 Average 882,239 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 944,393 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 311,697.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

247.8139

186.1619

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 201.7194, compared to 229.7174 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.9980 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 201.7194

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 229.7174

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 24.7436 UGX (High: 229.6475 / Low: 204.9039). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.8205 UGX (High: 203.1179 / Low: 197.2974).

June Spread (Volatile) ±24.7436

March Spread (Stable) ±5.8205

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 19.3768 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -19.3768

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 242.6762) against the same month in 2010 (average: 183.7450), the exchange rate shifted by +58.9312 (+32.07%).

2011 Avg (August) 242.6762

2010 Avg (August) 183.7450

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	195.8340	188.8785	191.2996
February	198.2112	192.0513	195.7680
March	203.1179	197.2974	200.6810
April	208.1032	200.0649	203.8920
May	210.1694	201.5182	206.2718
June	229.6475	204.9039	212.4040
July	229.7154	221.1925	225.1681
August	251.2181	229.5131	242.6762
September	249.8176	237.2500	242.4074
October	245.4193	224.3403	239.4008
November	226.2774	213.5279	220.0240
December	216.2729	200.5506	208.6277