YEARLY HIGH
201.7550 UGX
YEARLY LOW
188.9889 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
195.5570 UGX

2022 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 201.7550. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 188.9889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.7662 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 196.9378 to the December average rate of 190.8001, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 201.7550 was down 6.74% compared to the 2021 peak of 216.3263, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,008,775 UGX
2021 Average 1,016,655 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 944,944 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 63,830.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

200.0047
189.9634
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 194.9572, compared to 196.1568 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1996 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 194.9572
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 196.1568

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 8.6064 UGX (High: 198.4190 / Low: 189.8125). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.5938 UGX (High: 198.0975 / Low: 195.5037).

May Spread (Volatile) ±8.6064
October Spread (Stable) ±2.5938

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 4.6016 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.6016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 199.1679) against the same month in 2021 (average: 200.1871), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0192 (-0.51%).

2022 Avg (August) 199.1679
2021 Avg (August) 200.1871

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 199.7295 195.1756 196.9378
February 198.1182 193.8232 196.4712
March 197.4700 193.5329 195.7288
April 195.7971 190.3566 192.4941
May 198.4190 189.8125 192.0045
June 200.1106 193.6526 196.1070
July 201.1183 194.4772 197.0542
August 201.7550 195.9420 199.1679
September 199.3024 194.3688 197.1540
October 198.0975 195.5037 197.3631
November 196.7443 193.3250 195.4017
December 194.8734 188.9889 190.8001