2017 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

212.8298 UGX

YEARLY LOW

178.3928 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

196.5188 UGX

2017 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 212.8298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 178.3928.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 34.4370 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 180.2321 to the December average rate of 211.1646, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 212.8298 was up 16.73% compared to the 2016 peak of 182.3239, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,064,149 UGX

2016 Average 859,239 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 891,964 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 172,184.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

214.2898

176.7878

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 187.3394, compared to 205.6982 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 18.3588 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 187.3394

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 205.6982

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was May, with a trading range of 9.3152 UGX (High: 198.8556 / Low: 189.5403). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.8244 UGX (High: 181.3655 / Low: 178.5411).

May Spread (Volatile) ±9.3152

February Spread (Stable) ±2.8244

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.7958 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7958

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2017: 211.1646) against the same month in 2016 (average: 178.9587), the exchange rate shifted by +32.2059 (+18.00%).

2017 Avg (December) 211.1646

2016 Avg (December) 178.9587

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	181.9738	178.3928	180.2321
February	181.3655	178.5411	179.9129
March	187.1155	179.5227	183.3482
April	190.2066	186.2556	187.9280
May	198.8556	189.5403	195.4364
June	198.9325	195.3403	197.1787
July	201.2876	196.6154	199.2140
August	204.3430	200.4117	202.2816
September	206.5763	202.2527	204.4389
October	211.5322	205.4508	208.9430
November	212.1536	205.7170	208.1472
December	212.8298	208.6827	211.1646