2019 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

217.6280 UGX

YEARLY LOW

202.2292 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

211.4721 UGX

2019 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 11, valuing the pair at 217.6280. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 23, dropping to 202.2292.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.3988 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 216.3499 to the December average rate of 212.8747, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 217.6280 was down 5.97% compared to the 2018 peak of 231.4349, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,088,140 UGX

2018 Average 1,108,971 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,011,146 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 76,994.02 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

217.3929

204.8764

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 212.4641, compared to 210.4801 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9840 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 212.4641

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 210.4801

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 8.1610 UGX (High: 212.9435 / Low: 204.7825). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.6471 UGX (High: 216.5164 / Low: 213.8692).

August Spread (Volatile) ±8.1610

February Spread (Stable) ±2.6471

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 4.0659 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.0659

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 215.7547) against the same month in 2018 (average: 220.6253), the exchange rate shifted by -4.8706 (-2.21%).

2019 Avg (March) 215.7547

2018 Avg (March) 220.6253

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	217.5720	214.6591	216.3499
February	216.5164	213.8692	214.9486
March	217.6280	214.0724	215.7547
April	214.9324	209.1011	211.8266
May	211.5717	206.5752	209.9853
June	208.9242	202.2292	205.9194
July	211.5484	205.5460	208.8434
August	212.9435	204.7825	209.4105
September	209.3683	205.5992	207.6605
October	215.7295	207.6716	211.8106
November	213.5815	210.3250	212.2808
December	214.0165	211.2750	212.8747