2013 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

224.6412 UGX

YEARLY LOW

191.8206 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

206.5679 UGX

2013 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 224.6412. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 191.8206.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.8206 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 221.2002 to the December average rate of 194.2740, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 224.6412 was up 1.13% compared to the 2012 peak of 222.1275, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,123,206 UGX

2012 Average 1,035,398 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 959,103 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 164,102.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

223.8929

191.5814

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 213.5667, compared to 199.5692 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.9974 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 213.5667

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 199.5692

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was July, with a trading range of 9.4211 UGX (High: 214.5027 / Low: 205.0815). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.7298 UGX (High: 210.9480 / Low: 207.2183).

July Spread (Volatile) ±9.4211

June Spread (Stable) ±3.7298

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 5.8405 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.8405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 221.2002) against the same month in 2012 (average: 204.6349), the exchange rate shifted by +16.5653 (+8.10%).

2013 Avg (January) 221.2002

2012 Avg (January) 204.6349

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	224.6412	219.3250	221.2002
February	222.0254	215.9832	219.5281
March	217.0383	208.9884	213.6876
April	212.1855	205.2678	208.9934
May	212.4344	207.0612	209.3075
June	210.9480	207.2183	208.6831
July	214.5027	205.0815	208.5503
August	206.3233	201.4011	203.1716
September	203.3414	197.9899	200.6664
October	200.0584	193.5391	195.9211
November	196.6243	192.2391	194.8319
December	197.4541	191.8206	194.2740