2025 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

217.6270 UGX

YEARLY LOW

195.2071 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

208.2070 UGX

2025 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 217.6270. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 195.2071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.4199 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 198.7700 to the December average rate of 212.0556, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 217.6270 was down 2.06% compared to the 2024 peak of 222.2022, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,088,135 UGX

2024 Average 1,059,445 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 976,035 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 112,099.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

214.4393

195.8354

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 205.5037, compared to 210.9102 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.4066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 205.5037

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 210.9102

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 12.8820 UGX (High: 217.4729 / Low: 204.5909). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.0087 UGX (High: 199.5858 / Low: 195.5771).

November Spread (Volatile) ±12.8820

February Spread (Stable) ±4.0087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 5.8266 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.8266

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2025: 212.0556) against the same month in 2024 (average: 200.0184), the exchange rate shifted by +12.0372 (+6.02%).

2025 Avg (December) 212.0556

2024 Avg (December) 200.0184

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	201.1657	195.2071	198.7700
February	199.5858	195.5771	197.3857
March	207.0729	196.6094	203.1997
April	215.4201	203.3563	210.1837
May	214.7048	210.0469	212.2750
June	214.8955	208.6935	211.2079
July	215.9344	209.8015	212.8723
August	215.6203	207.2216	212.8890
September	214.7169	208.6246	211.4695
October	209.2089	201.8839	205.6429
November	217.4729	204.5909	210.5321
December	217.6270	207.9131	212.0556