2014 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

194.5701 UGX

YEARLY LOW

175.9006 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

185.5013 UGX

2014 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 194.5701. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 175.9006.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.6695 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 189.7921 to the December average rate of 179.3240, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 194.5701 was down 13.39% compared to the 2013 peak of 224.6412, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 972,851 UGX

2013 Average 1,032,487 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 879,503 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 93,347.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

190.8389

178.2772

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 186.8570, compared to 184.1455 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.7115 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 186.8570

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 184.1455

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 10.4943 UGX (High: 194.5701 / Low: 184.0759). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.6117 UGX (High: 186.3926 / Low: 183.7809).

January Spread (Volatile) ±10.4943

June Spread (Stable) ±2.6117

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 6.9345 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.9345

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 189.7921) against the same month in 2013 (average: 221.2002), the exchange rate shifted by -31.4081 (-14.20%).

2014 Avg (January) 189.7921

2013 Avg (January) 221.2002

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	194.5701	184.0759	189.7921
February	185.2578	181.2065	182.8576
March	191.3795	184.2843	188.5006
April	191.9543	185.9505	188.6120
May	188.2673	184.2431	186.3108
June	186.3926	183.7809	185.0690
July	190.1889	185.4056	188.4224
August	191.1539	186.2642	188.7608
September	185.8714	181.5439	183.0410
October	184.5055	179.2466	182.5488
November	185.1294	180.3527	182.7761
December	184.8194	175.9006	179.3240