2020 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

224.3306 UGX

YEARLY LOW

201.8799 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

215.6829 UGX

2020 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 6, valuing the pair at 224.3306. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 6, dropping to 201.8799.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.4508 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 211.7446 to the December average rate of 213.1787, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 224.3306 was up 3.08% compared to the 2019 peak of 217.6280, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,121,653 UGX

2019 Average 1,057,330 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,009,399 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 112,253.78 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

223.7709

207.2823

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 212.5243, compared to 218.8415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.3172 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 212.5243

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 218.8415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 12.2773 UGX (High: 214.1572 / Low: 201.8799). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.5658 UGX (High: 221.1914 / Low: 218.6257).

April Spread (Volatile) ±12.2773

October Spread (Stable) ±2.5658

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 4.6229 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.6229

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2020: 222.2920) against the same month in 2019 (average: 209.4105), the exchange rate shifted by +12.8815 (+6.15%).

2020 Avg (August) 222.2920

2019 Avg (August) 209.4105

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	217.0648	207.8083	211.7446
February	213.5987	206.2185	209.4507
March	218.8114	209.1311	213.2793
April	214.1572	201.8799	208.6564
May	216.3748	211.7294	214.2382
June	220.0496	216.0198	217.7768
July	223.1881	216.0728	218.5294
August	224.3306	219.9308	222.2920
September	224.0704	219.5920	222.3969
October	221.1914	218.6257	219.8725
November	219.6311	214.5398	216.7797
December	215.4817	211.3650	213.1787