YEARLY HIGH
219.0239 UGX
YEARLY LOW
191.8901 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
205.8535 UGX

2023 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 219.0239. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 191.8901.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.1339 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 194.4063 to the December average rate of 214.8122, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 219.0239 was up 8.56% compared to the 2022 peak of 201.7550, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,095,120 UGX
2022 Average 977,762 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 959,450 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 135,669.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

216.8528
192.3657
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 202.6548, compared to 209.0523 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.3976 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 202.6548
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 209.0523

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 11.7013 UGX (High: 211.9620 / Low: 200.2608). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.5947 UGX (High: 208.9527 / Low: 205.3580).

July Spread (Volatile) ±11.7013
October Spread (Stable) ±3.5947

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.7509 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7509

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 214.8122) against the same month in 2022 (average: 190.8001), the exchange rate shifted by +24.0120 (+12.58%).

2023 Avg (December) 214.8122
2022 Avg (December) 190.8001

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 196.9583 191.8901 194.4063
February 198.4613 193.5592 196.4132
March 206.0984 197.0157 200.8623
April 209.5432 205.3484 207.5084
May 212.8629 207.9045 209.7446
June 211.3100 200.5530 206.9938
July 211.9620 200.2608 204.6283
August 213.1736 204.2395 208.2032
September 210.0889 206.0736 208.0143
October 208.9527 205.3580 206.9765
November 216.0645 208.4971 211.6796
December 219.0239 211.9720 214.8122