2018 MDL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

231.4349 UGX

YEARLY LOW

212.3501 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

221.7920 UGX

2018 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 231.4349. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 212.3501.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.0848 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 214.7674 to the December average rate of 216.2666, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 231.4349 was up 8.74% compared to the 2017 peak of 212.8298, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,157,175 UGX

2017 Average 983,117 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,061,751 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 95,423.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

228.7710

213.4943

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 221.5590, compared to 222.0250 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4660 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 221.5590

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 222.0250

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 10.6781 UGX (High: 231.4349 / Low: 220.7568). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2281 UGX (High: 225.7543 / Low: 223.5262).

July Spread (Volatile) ±10.6781

April Spread (Stable) ±2.2281

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 4.0894 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.0894

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 224.7836) against the same month in 2017 (average: 199.2140), the exchange rate shifted by +25.5696 (+12.84%).

2018 Avg (July) 224.7836

2017 Avg (July) 199.2140

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	217.7231	212.3501	214.7674
February	219.7939	215.2243	218.2688
March	224.0509	217.9447	220.6253
April	225.7543	223.5262	224.7280
May	226.0175	222.0023	223.4665
June	230.8842	222.5482	227.4980
July	231.4349	220.7568	224.7836
August	226.4675	222.0956	224.2861
September	227.6020	224.5419	226.2403
October	225.7290	218.6796	222.1508
November	220.6455	216.2703	218.4223
December	219.5029	213.8131	216.2666