YEARLY HIGH
222.2022 UGX
YEARLY LOW
198.5500 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
211.9117 UGX

2024 MDL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the MDL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 4, valuing the pair at 222.2022. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 198.5500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 23.6522 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 215.8793 to the December average rate of 200.0184, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 222.2022 was up 1.45% compared to the 2023 peak of 219.0239, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,111,011 UGX
2023 Average 1,029,508 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 992,750 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 118,261.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

222.6655
197.9596
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 215.9640, compared to 207.8594 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.1046 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 215.9640
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 207.8594

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 10.1671 UGX (High: 217.3847 / Low: 207.2176). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.2251 UGX (High: 222.2022 / Low: 218.9771).

June Spread (Volatile) ±10.1671
March Spread (Stable) ±3.2251

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 5.9011 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.9011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2024: 220.6067) against the same month in 2023 (average: 200.8623), the exchange rate shifted by +19.7444 (+9.83%).

2024 Avg (March) 220.6067
2023 Avg (March) 200.8623

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 219.0247 214.0217 215.8793
February 221.9430 214.5468 217.5232
March 222.2022 218.9771 220.6067
April 221.0533 212.2883 215.5127
May 216.9436 212.0696 214.4967
June 217.3847 207.2176 211.7655
July 210.9816 207.5451 209.2603
August 215.9664 209.4026 212.8011
September 215.3898 211.1034 213.5459
October 211.0136 204.3234 207.6448
November 207.0864 201.6542 203.8862
December 201.9581 198.5500 200.0184